Possible scenario
Severe Flooding Emerges
15% Chance
Although the wind threat has diminished, slow-moving rain bands produce dangerous flash floods in parts of Baja California Sur. This scenario generates a larger humanitarian and infrastructure response, though market effects are still mostly limited to regional tourism, logistics, utilities, and reconstruction.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.6%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.3%
- Utilities -0.2%
- Industrials -0.1%
- Consumer Non-Cyclicals -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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