Possible scenario
Localized Tourism Damage
30% Chance
Wind and rain damage proves more disruptive in Los Cabos, especially for beachfront properties, marinas, and local transport links. The impact remains regional but creates several days of cancellations and repair spending across Baja California Sur.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.2%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.1%
- Utilities -0.1%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.1%
Tickers
- MAR-0.4%
- H-0.4%
- -0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.