Possible scenario
Qualcomm Win Holds
42% Chance
The most likely path is that Qualcomm's key license victory survives post-trial motions and any appeal. The jury's finding that Arm breached the license, combined with only nominal damages, limits Arm's leverage to force Qualcomm into higher royalty terms.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.3%
Tickers
- ARM-4.6%
- QCOM+3.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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