Possible scenario
Scaled Rule Survives
25% Chance
DHS may revise the proposal to improve its odds in court, preserving a restriction on OPT while reducing the most legally vulnerable parts. A narrower rule would still make foreign-student hiring costlier, but it would avoid the strongest analogy to the invalidated H-1B fee.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -1.2%
- Business Services -1.0%
- Healthcare -0.4%
Tickers
- CTSH-1.6%
- MSFT-0.8%
- AMZN-0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.6%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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