Possible scenario
Marshall Attack Lands
38% Chance
Roger Marshall's $1.2 million ad campaign succeeds in shifting attention away from the earlier patient-arrest controversy and onto Adam Hamilton's judgment. The race tightens as undecided Kansas voters react more strongly to child-safety allegations than to prior attacks on Marshall.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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