Possible scenario
Measured Pension Rebalancing
38% Chance
The largest public pensions treat the AI windfall as a funded-status opportunity rather than a signal to abandon technology. Boards and consultants recommend gradual rebalancing to avoid concentration risk while keeping core exposure to Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta, AMD and Palantir.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.4%
- Finance +0.2%
Tickers
- NVDA-0.7%
- PLTR-0.6%
- AMD-0.3%
- AVGO-0.2%
- -0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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