Possible scenario
President Exits
30% Chance
The no-confidence process accelerates a leadership transition, especially if trustees conclude that Kotlikoff can no longer command support across faculty, students, and donors. Cornell would likely frame the departure as necessary to restore trust after the rape-allegation controversy and campus uprising.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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