Possible scenario
Rosneft Cuts Investment
20% Chance
Rosneft responds to higher funding costs and linked-bank losses by trimming investment plans, delaying lower-priority projects or asking Moscow for tax relief. This has a clearer read-through to energy supply expectations than to global banking risk.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.9%
- Industrials -0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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