Possible scenario
Incident Risk Escalates
20% Chance
Contractor testing uncovers more serious Mythos weaknesses than initially disclosed, forcing emergency access reviews and temporary suspension of some AI-enabled workflows. The outcome remains below a systemic banking crisis but would create a sharper read-through to banks using advanced AI agents.
Secondary impacts
- Finance -2.8%
- Technology -2.2%
- Business Services +1.2%
Tickers
- BAC-9.2%
- CRWD+3.0%
- PANW+2.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-1.4%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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