Possible scenario
Limited Reform Revived
20% Chance
Although the broad proposal for judge-only criminal trials is abandoned, ministers may revive a narrower version for complex fraud or exceptional national-security cases. This would be framed as a specialist-capacity measure rather than a general rollback of jury trials.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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