Possible scenario
Consensus Reform Package
45% Chance
The most likely path is that the Ministry of Justice replaces judge-only trial proposals with less controversial measures to reduce the Crown Court backlog. Reforms focus on listing efficiency, digital case management, sentencing triage and expanded use of recorders rather than removing juries.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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