Possible scenario
Court Tightens Injunction
42% Chance
The most likely path is that the judge uses the summons to establish who authorized the Oct. 5 removals and preserves the status quo while the record is developed. Given that hundreds of trees were already felled after warnings, the court has a strong procedural basis to require sworn testimony, document production, and a continued pause.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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