Possible scenario
Contempt Inquiry Opens
25% Chance
The judge may conclude that the sequence of removals after warnings warrants a formal inquiry into compliance with court orders and administrative procedures. This would shift the case from a routine injunction dispute toward accountability for Interior Department and NPS officials.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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