Possible scenario
Rubio Complicates Field
18% Chance
Trump keeps the succession question open and allows Marco Rubio to remain a plausible alternative to both Vance and Cruz. This produces a more crowded invisible primary, with donors and elected Republicans waiting before committing.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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