Possible scenario
Selloff Extends
30% Chance
Foreign investors continue reducing Korea exposure as the weak won, higher domestic rates, and AI-chip valuation concerns reinforce one another. The selling remains concentrated in large-cap technology but spills into banks, autos, and industrial exporters.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Market volatility Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
- Copper Down
- US dollar Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology -4.1%
- Finance
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-2.7%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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