Possible scenario
Joint Buying Stabilizes
38% Chance
The European Commission's task force quickly aggregates demand from large industrial users and utilities, reducing bidding wars among member states. Norway, the United States and North African suppliers commit additional LNG and pipeline volumes, allowing storage targets to remain credible through winter.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Down
- Market volatility Down
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Utilities +1.0%
- Energy -0.8%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.7%
- Industrials
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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