Possible scenario
Congress Reopens Fight
25% Chance
The unexpectedly unified Democratic vote encourages another attempt to condition or block Israel-related arms transfers. The next fight shifts to appropriations, reporting requirements, and possible amendments attached to defense legislation.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials -0.2%
Tickers
- BA-0.5%
- GD-0.2%
- LMT-0.2%
- RTX-0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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