Possible scenario
Squeeze Extends Rally
38% Chance
Record-low visible stocks and recent mine disruptions keep buyers chasing physical copper. The rally extends if Chilean repairs are slow, Cobre Panama remains shut and tariff-related hoarding continues in the U.S.
Initial impacts
- Copper Up
Secondary impacts
- Non-Energy Materials +1.1%
- Industrials -0.4%
Tickers
- FCX+2.8%
- +2.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.5%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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