Possible scenario
Sharp Consolidation Arrives
27% Chance
After a 70% rally, the market is vulnerable to profit-taking, margin increases and softer end-user buying. Prices retreat from records without changing the broader medium-term tightness narrative.
Initial impacts
- Copper Down
Secondary impacts
- Non-Energy Materials -1.0%
Tickers
- FCX-1.5%
- SCCO-1.3%
- -1.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.7%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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