Possible scenario
Regulators Step In
20% Chance
Australian regulators and overseas supervisors use the RBA's analysis to press funds and banks for better disclosure of AI-equity exposure, leverage and liquidity risk. The market impact is concentrated in asset managers, banks and highly owned technology stocks rather than the whole economy.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.7%
- Finance -0.6%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.6%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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