Possible scenario
Circularity Concerns Rise
30% Chance
Investors become more skeptical that Nvidia is pulling forward demand by financing customers that then buy Nvidia chips. The market treats the arrangement as a revenue-quality issue and assigns a lower multiple to AI infrastructure growth.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -1.3%
- Finance -0.1%
Tickers
- NVDA-6.7%
- CRWV-5.4%
- NBIS-5.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-1.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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