Possible scenario
Renewed Federal Bargain
20% Chance
Political pressure from the House’s 417-3 vote and rising household power bills could force another Senate-House negotiation. A revised bill would likely be narrower than the House version but still include some cost-causation safeguards.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials +0.5%
- Technology -0.3%
Tickers
- ETN+0.6%
- AMZN-0.5%
- META-0.5%
- CEG+0.4%
- +0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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