Possible scenario
Police Rules Tighten
20% Chance
The government moves from a temporary suspension to a more formal review of crowd-control weapons, training standards, and accountability rules. The political center accepts reform to prevent the protests from widening, while police unions argue officers are losing operational tools.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.