Possible scenario
Inquiry Contains Unrest
45% Chance
The suspension of stun grenades, an IGPN investigation, and ministerial assurances reduce the immediate anger around the 15-year-old's injury. Student groups keep symbolic actions going, but the movement does not become a wider national crisis.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.1%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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