Possible scenario
Diplomacy Stalls
32% Chance
The call helps keep diplomatic lines open but does not bridge the substantive gap between Riyadh and the Houthis. Saudi Arabia continues to reject Houthi terms, while Iran favors engagement without publicly forcing the group into concessions.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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