Possible scenario
Symbolic Thaw Only
28% Chance
The summit optics improve the tone of U.S.-China relations, but agencies maintain that advanced AI chip curbs remain intact. This outcome is plausible because the trade truce can be extended without resolving the hardest technology-security disputes.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.2%
- Consumer Services +0.1%
Tickers
- AAPL+0.9%
- MSFT+0.4%
- NVDA+0.2%
- AMZN+0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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