Possible scenario
Ledger Fallout Deepens
20% Chance
The asset freeze may not be enough to contain reputational damage if investigators identify a Ledger product, partner integration, or operational weakness. Given Ledger's earlier halt of CryptoBilis sales after a reported theft, scrutiny of wallet security is likely to intensify.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.2%
- Finance -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.