Possible scenario
Suit Advances
45% Chance
The most likely path is that the civil-rights case proceeds in federal district court after the 8th Circuit holds that qualified immunity does not bar the claims at this stage. The ruling is significant legally but remains a narrow individual-liability decision with little immediate market relevance.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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