Possible scenario
Injunction Is Extended
45% Chance
The most likely path is that the court converts the temporary pause into a longer preliminary injunction while it reviews notice failures and the administrative record. The 21-page opinion's finding that the work was rushed at Trump's behest gives challengers a stronger procedural footing.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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