Possible scenario
Cutting Resumes Narrowly
30% Chance
A plausible outcome is that the government corrects procedural defects and resumes a narrower version of the project. The court may conclude that the original rush was improper but that lawful tree removal can proceed after adequate notice and documentation.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.