Possible scenario
Supply Chain Tightens
18% Chance
The next phase of the AI buildout becomes constrained by memory, advanced packaging, power availability and fab capacity rather than end demand. This creates winners and losers inside the same four-company group.
Secondary impacts
- Utilities +0.5%
- Technology -0.4%
- Industrials +0.3%
Tickers
- MU+2.1%
- NVDA-1.6%
- AMD-1.4%
- -0.8%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.