Possible scenario
Rapid Grid Recovery
40% Chance
Emergency crews from Mexico's Comisión Federal de Electricidad restore most service in Los Cabos, La Paz, and nearby municipalities within several days. Damage is disruptive but contained, limiting broader economic spillovers beyond temporary tourism, retail, and utility costs.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.5%
- Utilities -0.4%
- Industrials +0.2%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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