Possible scenario
Florida Enforces Aggressively
18% Chance
Florida moves beyond symbolism by directing agencies, universities, local partners, or contractors to review relationships tied to designated groups. This raises the stakes of CAIR's lawsuit and invites additional plaintiffs.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.