Existing bypass capacity for Gulf producers totals approximately 9M to 10M BPD, roughly half of the 20M BPD that flowed through the Strait of Hormuz before the war. The specific Duqm project is estimated to cost $7B for a 1,000 km pipeline with a capacity of 2M BPD and a completion timeline of 2 to 3 years. While these projects complement the 7M BPD East-West pipeline to Yanbu, analysts warn that the new routes remain within range of Iran and may lead to other regional chokepoints in the Red Sea.
