Possible scenario
Rapid Market Adoption
25% Chance
Nasdaq’s collateral-efficiency argument accelerates institutional adoption as banks, clearinghouses, and asset managers seek lower funding frictions. Tokenized securities become a competitive priority for major exchanges and custodians, especially in Treasurys and listed equities.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Down
- Bitcoin Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance +1.1%
- Technology +0.7%
Tickers
- +3.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.5%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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