Possible scenario
Rights Holder Crackdown
28% Chance
Scientific publishers and professional societies may argue that bulk redistribution and AI-training use exceed the rights granted for some papers. Because OpenAI's 2025 copyright reversal made dataset provenance more salient, a coordinated rights-holder response is a realistic downside path.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.5%
- Consumer Services +0.4%
- Business Services -0.1%
Tickers
- NVDA-0.8%
- WLYB+0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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