Possible scenario
AI Valuation Reset
25% Chance
The disclosure becomes a benchmark for revaluing frontier AI companies with massive compute obligations. Public markets begin applying lower multiples to AI infrastructure, cloud capacity commitments, and model-lab revenue projections.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -2.0%
- Finance -0.6%
- Business Services -0.4%
Tickers
- NVDA-2.5%
- AMD-1.9%
- AMZN-1.9%
- -1.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-1.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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