Possible scenario
Policy Terms Tighten
18% Chance
Canada’s oil-and-gas emissions cap and British Columbia climate rules remain the biggest policy uncertainties around the expansion. The Carney government’s pro-development shift lowers cancellation risk, but regulators may still demand stricter electrification, methane and offset commitments.
Secondary impacts
- Utilities +0.3%
- Industrials +0.2%
- Energy +0.2%
Tickers
- TRP+0.9%
- CNQ-0.3%
- TOU+0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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