Possible scenario
Damage Proves Partial
38% Chance
Russian strikes inflict real damage on power supply, logistics and selected rolling lines, but Ukraine's steel industry is not erased. ArcelorMittal Kryvyi Rih, Metinvest assets outside occupied Mariupol, and smaller pipe and rail suppliers operate intermittently with generator power, repairs and EU logistics support.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- Copper Up
Secondary impacts
- Non-Energy Materials +0.5%
- Industrials -0.2%
Tickers
- NUE+0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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