Possible scenario
Border Diplomacy Holds
20% Chance
The administration relies heavily on Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, and Venezuela to absorb returns and reduce pressure on U.S. facilities. This path keeps border releases at or near zero without needing a dramatic new domestic legal change.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.4%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.2%
- Industrials -0.1%
- Business Services +0.1%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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