Possible scenario
Policy Stabilization Package
20% Chance
Economic officials respond with a market-stabilization package to prevent forced selling and reassure domestic savers. The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey and the Capital Markets Board may combine liquidity support, settlement flexibility, and tighter disclosure rules.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Down
- 10-year Treasury yield Up
- US dollar Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.2%
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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