Possible scenario
Taiwan Sale Revived
25% Chance
Bipartisan backlash over the blocked Taiwan sale forces the administration to show support for Taipei. The White House and State Department move toward reviving part or all of the previously approved package while denying any concession to Beijing.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Industrials +1.4%
- Technology -0.1%
Tickers
- LMT+2.1%
- +1.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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