Possible scenario
Congress Forces Compromise
28% Chance
Democrats and some institutional Republicans push FHFA to preserve a minimum audit and investigations function. The outcome is not a full reversal, but a negotiated restoration of some staff and clearer reporting requirements for the inspector general office.
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.3%
Tickers
- RKT+0.5%
- RDN+0.3%
- MTG+0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.