Possible scenario
Debt Market Tightens
22% Chance
The Gartner forecast causes lenders to revisit assumptions behind the AI data-center debt boom. Financing remains available for contracted projects, but borrowing costs rise and speculative campuses face delays or cancellation.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -2.0%
- Finance -0.7%
- Industrials -0.5%
Tickers
- APLD-8.1%
- IREN-7.4%
- CRWV-6.7%
- -6.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-1.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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