Possible scenario
Broader Data Crackdown
25% Chance
Beijing uses the DeepSeek and Moonshot case to tighten supervision across the domestic AI stack. The regulator broadens checks on model training, enterprise data handling, and use of overseas AI systems by Chinese technology firms.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -2.1%
- Business Services +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.9%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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