Possible scenario
Parliament Blocks Again
30% Chance
Congress again rejects the revived decrees, likely because Junts refuses to validate measures it views as legally weak or harmful to Catalan property owners. The government is forced back to negotiations, leaving eviction protections and rent extensions legally uncertain.
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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