Possible scenario
Courts Decide Legality
20% Chance
Opposition parties and property-owner groups challenge the renewed decrees, arguing the government is abusing emergency decree powers after a parliamentary rejection. The decrees may remain temporarily effective while legal review proceeds, creating a policy overhang rather than an immediate market break.
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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