Possible scenario
Managed Launch Succeeds
38% Chance
Canada allows Geely to proceed under the reduced tariff framework, with federal reviews focused on safety certification, data handling, and dealer compliance. The launch is gradual but commercially credible, especially in Quebec, British Columbia, and Ontario where EV adoption is highest.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.5%
Tickers
- TSLA-1.2%
- F-0.5%
- GMM.USD-0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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