Possible scenario
Intel Retains Role
25% Chance
Intel avoids a full displacement by accepting a narrower operating role while TSMC provides process support, training or customer-assurance functions. This outcome is plausible because Washington and Texas officials may prefer preserving Intel participation in a strategic domestic fab.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.5%
- Industrials +0.3%
Tickers
- INTC+1.7%
- TSM+1.1%
- SPCX+0.7%
- TSLA+0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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