Possible scenario
Police enforcement clashes
25% Chance
The PSNI may decide it must enforce the court ruling to avoid appearing to yield to unlawful obstruction. That creates a real risk of clashes with nationalist protesters and counter-mobilization by loyalist groups in Portadown and nearby towns.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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